Do Americans agree with others about what is "likely"?

In an online quiz, participants assigned numerical values (0-100%) to each of 19 probabilistic phrases. The plot below compares the distribution of responses from the United States and
by country of residence.




Source: Kucharski AJ (2026) CAPphrase: Comparative and Absolute Probability phrase dataset. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18750055.